Friday, October 02, 2009
Am I Too Pessimistic About the Iran Breakthrough?
Why, if I have been stressing Russia's reluctance to sanction Iran, would they be instrumental in getting this deal through by being one of the parties involved in supplying Iran with the fuel? Well, to the extent that this "temporary" settlement only delays rather than resolves the Iran issue, then much of the status quo which benefits Russia stays in place--and Russia reaps benefits in Europe for its constructive role.
I assume that the U.S. perspective is one of eventual timing--delay works in our favor if we expect that time is against the current regime.
Just my thoughts--
I'm not sure how Iran's keeping its declared infrastructure would be a problem unless monitoring isn't practical. The questions are whether there are any more undeclared facilities and where the uranium fuel will go once it has been returned to Iran and spent.