Wednesday, September 23, 2009
So Does Obama-Medvedev Meeting Prove Me Wrong?
But the crux of the matter for the U.S. is not when Tehran crosses the line and has a working bomb, it is trusting Iran to have a nuclear infrastructure like Japan's. I think that Russia will be far more supportive of "trusting" Iran with nuclear technology than a U.S. which would prefer a much higher degree of Iranian denuclearization. And I think it is here that we will still have daylight between the positions, unless something else changes the calculus.
Especially since most of the accusations about Iran's nuclear weapons program comes from folks who were so certain Saddam had one in the run-up to the invasion of Iraq.
Be prepared for much bleating from these folks about how the Russians refused to reciprocate the missile defense decision. Well, the Russians have over 20 years experience of making unreciprocated concessions, and know very well this isn't one.
And if the bleaters really want to make an issue of it, they can lose Russia as a LOC to Afghanistan.