Monday, October 06, 2008

Bad News from Afghanistan?

Via Dan Drezner, the news from the weekend that the government of Hamid Karzai has opened negotiations with the Taliban. An interesting development. As in Pakistan, the same dynamic--Karzai is looking to stabilize his own government, not fight to the last man in the U.S. war on terror.

And on another front. My colleague Derek Reveron asked today over at New Atlanticist:

Now that Somali pirates have captured global attention and European navies seem prepared to deploy to the Horn of Africa, working through the rules of engagement is critical. How aggressive will naval action be against pirates? Will European frigates attack the pirates when these same countries have largely refused to conduct combat operations against Taliban in Afghanistan?

Another worrying possibility? Is there a sufficient "pipeline" of expertise that stretches from Afghanistan to Somalia? In other words, could those with some practical experience of fighting NATO forces in Afghanistan find their way to join up with the Somali pirates?

"It's about reducing it to a manageable level of insurgency that's not a strategic threat and can be managed by the Afghan army,"

Wouldn't the non-Pashtuns, who are half of the population, go into opposition? I'm not sure this will reduce insurgency to a manageable level. But we certainly won't be a part of it.

We may now be entering the end game in both Afghanistan and Iraq. If the Maliki government meant what it said about our leaving in two years, we will be gone from that country soon, and I don't see us staying in Afghanistan to defend a government that includes the Taliban.

I agree with those over on Daniel Drezner's site who doubt the reported estrangement of the Taliban from al-Qaida. But I suppose we will have to see.
"In other words, could those with some practical experience of fighting NATO forces in Afghanistan find their way to join up with the Somali pirates?"

I think we will see a return to the WWII convoy system in the area. That should prevent piracy.
Being Muslims, they must be peaceful pirates at least. These Somali Buccaneer monkeys are out of control. They go out for weeks in little rickety boats with just weapons and water and eat raw fish they catch and keep hijacking bigger then bigger, then bigger boats.

These terrorist monkeys must be exterminated with extreme prejudice. Sending several drones into their camps when they're fat and happy celebrating their new money should do the trick.

Lots of great Pirate coverage over at Dinah Lord:
Somalian Gov't Charges Pirate Negotiator Andrew Mwangura
absurd thought -
God of the Universe says
don't exterminate pirates

seizing ships for ransom
everybody gets rich

absurd thought -
God of the Universe says
let pirates operate

you will get cut of ransom
and maybe some weapons too

All real freedom starts with freedom of speech. Without freedom of speech there can be no real freedom.
Philosophy of Liberty Cartoon
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