Friday, March 28, 2008
Violence in Iraq, Predicted
Among his points about what we should expect:
--as British forces withdraw from Basra, "no foreign power will be able to prevent an intra-Shia conflict" over control of this strategic, oil rich region and that if the central government doesn't accommodate the desires of local political players, "Shia will abandon any pretense of support for al-Maliki's government."
--on Moqtada al-Sadr: "al-Sadr and the Mahdi army may well provoke a direct confrontation with their Shia rivals" in a bid to retain power and influence and to avoid being marginalized.