Monday, November 05, 2007

More on Musharraf: Did Succession Questions Play a Role

In looking at developing events in Pakistan, I am also wondering whether or not questions of ensuring a "proper" succession informed Musharraf's decision. Under a power-sharing arrangement, if Musharraf were to be killed or incapacitated, I assume that power would automatically devolve then to the prime minister. Certainly there would be no guarantees that the system Musharraf has created would endure.

Under the conditions of the emergency, in contrast, Musharraf seems to have full power and authority to create and maintain a clear line of succession of power to other army figures who could step in as deputies and successors, bypassing the existing constitutional framework.

A Bhutto-Musharraf power sharing deal wouldn't impact his succession.

That would be dictated by Pakistan's constitution.

If Musharraf were to be "killed or incapacitated," the chairman of the Senate, Muhammad Mian Soomro, would take over as president.

If Musharraf remained as chief of army staff, he would automatically be succeeded by the vice chief of army staff, Ashfaq Kiyani -- handpicked by Musharraf.
But the constitution is suspended now, right? SO can't he create a new system of succession?
Some articles of the constitution are suspended.

The articles pertaining to presidential and army chief succession are not.

Musharraf's Provisional Constitutional Order permits him to unilaterally amend the constitution. Conceivably, he could create a new succession order -- but there's little reason for him to. The chairman of the Senate and vice chief of the army are his handpicked allies.
Arif, thanks for your contribution and for clarifying the constitutional issues raised by anonymous 5:35.
Brian Bennett from Time magazine is speculating that the emergency is designed to "purge" the Supreme Court ahead of implementing the power sharing deal with Bhutto.
Post a Comment

<< Home

This page is powered by Blogger. Isn't yours?