Tuesday, January 09, 2007
Love that Consistency on Belarus'!
So, has Lukashenka now become a "freedom fighter"? We've seen this before--when the ex-Communists of Moldova went from being targets of a colored revolution to becoming our new best friends once they broke with Moscow. Should we be expecting commentary in the next few days about how Lukashenka is really a good guy (borrowing from the Ilham Aliyev script)? Stay tuned.
In some ways, it's a positive sign that Russia is blackmailing Belarus. While before this I was predisposed to believe that Russia turned its weapons specifically against political liberalization, it now appears that its desire for more currency has some elements of apoliticism.
On the other hand, the tearing up of contracts, apolitically, represents a symbolically threatening event to the Western power structure. For what other reason has Evo Morales been considered a threat to the U.S.?
I don't necessarily agree with denominating all contractual disruptors as threats to U.S. security, but I understand the tendency to associate.
On the other hand, what to make of Russia's arguments that sales of oil to its ex-republics should no longer be subsidised, but should reflect market prices? On the surface, it's hard to contradict the sentiment, no?
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