Tuesday, February 14, 2006
Yeltsin Model for Abbas and Yushchenko?
Hamas has taken control of the Palestinian parliament and will form the new government; the likely results of the parliamentary elections in Ukraine will be a coalition between Yanukovych, Litvyn (the Rada's speaker) and the Communists, which will enable them to have a majority. In both cases, a more pro-Western/pro-American chief executive will be isolated and have diminished authority.
The Russian I was speaking to noted this was the situation that faced Boris Yeltsin after the 1993 elections--and that the U.S. advice to Yeltsin was to rule by decree, bypass the legislature and in essence short-change the democratic process and that this was justified as "destroying democracy to save it." He wondered whether Washington might now be tempted in both the Palestinian and Ukrainian cases to encourage presidents to try and consolidate power and marginalize the legislatures. This might be possible in the PA, which already has a stronger executive, but in Ukraine's case it would require Yushchenko to nullify the constitutional changes that helped to bring him to power in the first place. (And he also noted this is what has been happening in Georgia since the Rose Revolution, where you now have a super-presidency and where checks and balances have really eroded.)
It is an interesting question. Strategically speaking, it might work in the short term but carries real long-term risks. And it would require the United States to essentially abandon its own rhetoric about democracy.
All the worlds nations and all the old political, economic, and military alliances will re-configure or realign, or shapeshift to counter the Bush governments predation, profiteering, plunder, imperialism, and the fascist perversions and delusions of the Pax Americana neverendingwar and empire agenda and designs.
The only hope for any progress in WMD proliferation, peace and/or stability in the ME, the advancement of real democracy, the global security and prosperity is for the American people to forcefully dislodge the fascist warmongers, profiteers, and incompetent chickhawks in the Bush government - and begin restoring and repairing America's credibility, legitimacy, standing, and partnerships in the global community.
If not, our future is neverendingwar, pathological dependence on oil, a ruthless concentration of wealth and resources of and by the worlds tyrants and oligarchs, - and a marked and radical DECREASE in security, prosperity, and liberty globally
The new guy dosen't do that, so the entire basis for for our concerns about Putin boil down the fact that he upholds his country's interests rather than submit to our will.
Gee, I wonder if Stalin had just let us run the whole world from 1945 on, if he'd still be getting so much bad press in the West about the 1930s.
I don't understand why non-Americans complain so much about this. It is what the French or Russians or Chinese do all as well.